๐Ÿ™๏ธ Dubai Commercial Real Estate ยท Q1 2026

Occupancy & Vacancy rates โ€” by key sector (estimates)

๐Ÿ“† January โ€“ March 2026 ยท forward-looking data
โ“˜ Projected market estimates (Q1 2026). Based on Q4 2025 trends, early 2026 indicators, and pre-2026 market dynamics.
Commercial Sector Estimated Occupancy Estimated Vacancy Trend / Highlights
๐Ÿข Office (Prime / Grade A) 93โ€“95% 5โ€“7% Very low supply DIFC, Downtown nearly saturated
๐Ÿ›๏ธ Retail (Prime Malls) 89โ€“91% 9โ€“11% Tourism-driven MOE, Dubai Mall occupancy ~95%
๐Ÿญ Industrial / Warehouse 90โ€“92% 8โ€“10% Eโ€‘commerce boost strong demand in Dubai South
โ„๏ธ Cold Storage 94โ€“96% 4โ€“6% Tightest market food/pharma & limited new supply
โš™๏ธ Manufacturing (Light Industrial) 87โ€“89% 11โ€“13% Selective demand shift to highโ€‘value production
๐Ÿ“ฆ Logistics / 3PL Hubs 91โ€“93% 7โ€“9% Resilient growth JAFZA, Logistics Park near capacity
๐Ÿฌ Showroom / Retail Warehouse 85โ€“87% 13โ€“15% Softer segment oversupply in Ras Al Khor / Al Quoz

๐Ÿ“Š Occupancy & Vacancy by Sector โ€” Visual Analysis

Graph / Chart Area
Dubai CRE occupancy & vacancy graph Q1 2026
โ„๏ธ Cold Storage (94โ€“96% occ)
Highest occupancy due to pharma & food security expansion; limited new stock keeps vacancy below 6%.
๐Ÿ“ฆ Logistics & 3PL
Dubai South and JAFZA almost fully leased; cross-border eโ€‘commerce drives demand for modern logistics hubs.
๐Ÿญ Manufacturing
Steady at 87โ€“89% occupancy, with older stock seeing pressure; focus on advanced manufacturing niches.